Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Tallahassee FL
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Tallahassee FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tallahassee, FL |
Updated: 10:15 pm EDT Jun 27, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then T-storms Likely
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Saturday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Chance T-storms then T-storms
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Sunday Night
 T-storms then Chance T-storms
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Monday
 T-storms
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Monday Night
 T-storms then Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Chance T-storms then T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 T-storms then Chance T-storms
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Lo 73 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
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Tonight
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Calm wind. |
Saturday
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. |
Sunday
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Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. High near 91. Calm wind becoming west southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Low around 74. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday
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Showers and thunderstorms. High near 89. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Monday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Tuesday
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Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. High near 88. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Tuesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Low around 73. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Wednesday
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Showers and thunderstorms. High near 87. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Thursday
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Showers and thunderstorms. High near 89. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Thursday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Independence Day
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Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Tallahassee FL.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
295
FXUS62 KTAE 280014
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
814 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 812 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
The main item to watch this evening is a boundary collision over the
eastern portions of our area, particularly from near Valdosta
northward into Colquitt, Cook, and Berrien counties. With weak
environmental steering flow, storms developing along this boundary
will likely be slow to move and produce some localized heavy
rainfall. Storms will eventually diminish late this evening.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Saturday)
Issued at 159 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
An upper low remains in place across the region, providing a
favorable environment for diurnally driven showers and
thunderstorms. Overall, today`s convection evolved in part from
the outflow from storms over the marine area and early initiation
of the Florida Big Bend seabreeze. Recent animated visible
satellite imagery shows the outflow from these storms outpacing
the convective cores in the Florida Big Bend, but the outflow is
now beginning to intersect the Florida Panhandle seabreeze. This
will lead to increasing storm coverage in the Florida Panhandle
and eventually into Southeastern Alabama and far Southwestern
Georgia through the evening hours. Given the moist environment,
storms are anticipated to stay below severe limits, however, some
strong storms with wind gusts up to 50 mph are certainly possible.
Storm motions today are sufficiently fast to limit the flash
flood threat.
Overnight, convection should once again develop over the offshore
waters and could be fairly active through the night, while
conditions over land remain relatively quiet as the daytime
heating is lost.
For Saturday, while there is some uncertainty with the convective
pattern due to remnant outflow and how much convection develops
over the waters overnight, the S-SW 1000-700 mb flow would suggest
a slightly later start to convection (18-20z Sat timeframe) and
then spreading inland fairly quickly. As a result, have kept PoPs
on the higher side in the Florida Counties from Tallahassee
westward and then tapered them down to the north as it is possible
instability wanes by the time the sea breeze front makes it as far
north as Dothan or Albany. Overall, convective storm coverage will
keep maxTs from getting too high, generally in the 90-93 degree
range.
&&
.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 159 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
As the strong upper level high moves out to the Atlantic, a long
wave trough begins to move in Saturday evening and Sunday
bringing southwesterly flow to the forecast region. This flow will
bring moisture from the Gulf increasing PWATs overall. This,
along with the rising motion provided from the synoptic troughing
will allow for an active convection regime over the course of this
next week.
The trough will remain stagnant through much of next week
bringing in cloudy conditions each afternoon inhibiting max temps
to reach as high as seen last this week. Similar temperature and
convective patterns are expected in the earlier half of the week.
Precip chances are trending to decrease starting Thursday as
ridging behind the upper level trough moves in and the airmass
converts from extremely moist to dry. However, lingering moisture
in the southeast part of the forecast area, near the big bend, can
still expect favorable conditions for storm development before
the drier airmass completely moves in over the region.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
VFR conditions prevail at the TAF sites with a southwesterly to
southerly breeze through the period. Another round of showers and
a few thunderstorms is possible along the Gulf coast early
Saturday morning, so included some VCSH at KECP to account for
that possibility. Those showers and storms push inland Saturday
afternoon and attempted to hone in on the best window for those
showers and storms to be near/over the TAF sites with VCTS and
PROB30 groups.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 159 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
As high pressure begins to drift southward over the Gulf, gentle
southeast breezes will clock around out of the west to southwest and
become gentle to moderate. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
likely through the period, mainly in the overnight and morning
hours, diminishing some during the day except near the coast. Gusty
winds, dangerous lightning, and waterspouts will be possible in the
stronger storms.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 159 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
A seasonably moist and unstable air mass will be in place for the
next several days with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal outside of gusty
and erratic winds near thunderstorms along with lightning and
pockets of heavy rain.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 159 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025
Widespread rainfall over the next several days is expected to add
up to 4-5 inches of rain across portions of North Florida with
lesser amounts up into Georgia. Of course, this is over a broad
area, as localized amounts could be much heavier. In this sort of
wet pattern, individual thunderstorms could lead to flash
flooding, especially in urban environments given the high rainfall
rates. River flooding, however, is not expected.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 73 91 73 91 / 20 70 30 90
Panama City 75 90 76 90 / 20 60 60 80
Dothan 71 91 71 91 / 20 60 30 80
Albany 71 91 71 92 / 30 50 20 70
Valdosta 72 93 72 92 / 60 60 20 80
Cross City 71 93 72 92 / 20 60 50 80
Apalachicola 77 88 77 88 / 20 60 60 80
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...Godsey
SHORT TERM...Godsey
LONG TERM....Godsey
AVIATION...Reese
MARINE...Godsey
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Godsey
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