Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

804
FXUS62 KTAE 290003
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
803 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 800 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

- Dangerous heat is expected today through Tuesday, increasing
  the potential for heat stress and illnesses. Stay hydrated and
  take frequent breaks in air-conditioned places if possible.

- After a mostly dry weekend, afternoon thunderstorms are forecast
  to return Monday. Some may produce strong wind gusts and
  frequent lightning. Remember, when thunder roars, go indoors.

- Dangerous heat may return for the holiday weekend again
  increasing the potential for heat stress and illnesses.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 800 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Confidence was high enough to issue a Heat Advisory for Monday
afternoon for the Florida Big Bend and Panhandle along with the
southern row of Georgia counties. Heat indices are forecast to
climb to around 108 to 110 degrees Monday afternoon with actual
air temperatures flirting with the triple digit mark. Additional
areas may be included with a later forecast package.

Otherwise, the forecast is on track.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Currently, temperatures continue to ramp up today as a ridge of high
pressure builds in and begins to strengthen over the eastern conus.
Satellite derived PWAT values show much of the forecast area ranging
from 1.5 to 1.75 inches, with areas along the coast and big bend
approaching 2 inches, in line with the current heat advisory through
this afternoon. Tonight, only a slight reprieve from the heat is
expected, with overnight lows in the mid 70s, staying a bit warmer
along the coastline.

As the ridge continues to strengthen, temperatures will continue to
rise. We are expecting expanded heat advisory conditions tomorrow,
mainly starting slightly north of the Florida state line and
extending southward, with other pockets of advisory conditions still
possible. Area wide, max apparent temperatures will be near 105 on
the low end, with a number of areas potentially reaching the 108-110
range. Late Monday into the overnight hours, there is a chance of
storms moving in from the east, though the current timing of this
may have things fizzling out by the time it reaches us.

Tuesday into Tuesday night however, will see a much better chance of
precipitation. An impulse associated with the elongated trailing
portion of a upper level trough well into the Atlantic, will get
pulled along the southern portion of the upper level high, in an
almost inverted trough like manner. This should provide enough
forcing to enhance convection for that period. High temperatures
will depend greatly on the amount of coverage we end up with and
could still be a concern.

Temperatures will remain a concern going into the holiday weekend.
Some additional forcing could increase POPs in extended forecast
over our western areas. Though as the ridge breaks down, overall a

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 730 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Prevailing VFR conds expected thru much, if not the entire TAF
period. Light and/or vrb winds tonight turn out of the NW around
5 kts mid to late tmrw morning. The latter should keep the aftn
seabreeze confined south of I-10, but prompt a west to
southwesterly wind shift at ECP while serving as a focus for
t-storms off the Forgotten-Nature coasts towards the lower I-75
corridor. Introduced PROB30 groups for -TSRA at TLH/VLD at the end
of this cycle to acct.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Gentle westerly flow today becomes more northwesterly Monday and
Tuesday. The sea breeze will turn winds more southwesterly each
afternoon. By the middle of the week, winds turn more easterly as a
trough of low pressure slips south of the marine area. Seas will be
around 1-2 feet through the next several days. Isolated to scattered
showers and storms are possible again beginning Monday night, mainly
during the nighttime and morning hours.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

Transport winds will mainly be out of the west to southwest around
10 mph today, turning more northeast and east by the middle of next
week. Dispersions will be good each afternoon. Rain chances today
are less than 10%. An increase in rain chances returns Monday
afternoon and evening. Otherwise, increasing heat concerns are
expected early this week with heat index values in the 100-110,
possibly higher Monday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 345 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026

While scattered thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday could pose a
locally heavy rain threat, widespread flood concerns are not
expected over the next 7 days. Action stages continue on the lower
Choctawhatchee and Ochlockonee basins. No additional river flooding
is expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   76  98  77  95 /   0  20  20  80
Panama City   78  94  79  93 /   0  10  20  70
Dothan        75  96  77  94 /   0  10  30  50
Albany        76  97  77  95 /   0  10  30  40
Valdosta      76  97  77  96 /   0  20  20  40
Cross City    77  99  77  96 /   0  20  20  80
Apalachicola  78  93  80  92 /   0  20  20  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory from noon EDT /11 AM CDT/ to 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
     Monday for FLZ007>019-027>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-
     128-134-326-426.

GA...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Monday for GAZ155>161.

AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Humphreys
LONG TERM....Humphreys
AVIATION...IG3
MARINE...Humphreys
FIRE WEATHER...Humphreys
HYDROLOGY...Humphreys