Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

218
FXUS62 KTAE 160510
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
110 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 108 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

- Very warm temperatures are expected this weekend through next
  week. The chances for temperatures at or above 90 are medium
  this weekend (30-50%) increasing to medium to high (50-80%)
  next week. The heat may affect those who are sensitive,
  especially without cooling/hydration.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(This Evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

Warm and relatively dry conditions are expected to start out the
forecast period with southeasterly to southerly winds returning to
the area. The Bermuda High remains centered off the Atlantic coast
through the next week, keeping a steady stream of increasing
moisture over the region. This will cause nightly low temperatures
to rise into the upper 60s to low 70s by early next week. Ridging
begins to slide over the region over the weekend into next week,
allowing high temperatures to warm into the upper 80s to low 90s
area-wide. The ridging is forecast to be the strongest Monday
through Wednesday next week, so highs are most likely to reach 90+
on those afternoons.

A fairly summer-like setup is expected for rain chances with PoPs
beginning to increase as moisture increases late in the weekend
and into next week. Convection is first expected along the
seabreezes: both along the Gulf coast in the afternoons and also
across the I-75 corridor in the evening from the Atlantic
seabreeze. Severe weather is not expected at this time, but
afternoon storms could produce some gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 108 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026

A TEMPO group for patchy fog at the VLD terminal this morning.
Confidence is low-medium but, there is some potential. Light
easterly winds this morning will shift southeasterly and southerly
in the afternoon as the sea breeze moves in. Winds may gust up to
15 kts for the ECP and TLH terminals this afternoon. VFR
conditions are expected to prevail however, a scattered to broken
deck of clouds is expected to move over all terminals later this
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 143 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

Gentle to moderate southeast breezes establish Saturday into next
week. A slight uptick in winds will occur in the overnight hours
each night as easterly surges work offshore but should remain
below cautionary thresholds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 143 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

A warming and moistening trend is expected over the weekend with
south to southeasterly flow over the area. Min RHs will improve to
the mid 40 to mid 50% by Sunday. High mixing heights and breezy
transport winds will likely lead to high dispersions each day over
the weekend and Monday. Despite increasing moisture, the only
notable chance for rain comes Sunday afternoon and evening along the
I-75 corridor. Otherwise, conditions are expected to remain warm and
dry.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 221 AM EDT Fri May 15 2026

Moisture returns later this weekend into next week. Only low end
chances for isolated showers and thunderstorms expected each day.
Generally rainfall amounts will be light with no flooding
anticipated.

Extreme to exceptional drought continues across the area as long-
term rainfall deficits and low streamflows continue. For more
information on local drought impacts, please visit
www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   90  69  90  69 /   0  10  10   0
Panama City   85  68  85  69 /  10   0   0   0
Dothan        89  64  89  65 /  10  10  20   0
Albany        90  68  89  67 /   0   0  40  10
Valdosta      92  68  91  67 /   0  10  50  20
Cross City    95  69  93  69 /  10  20  40  10
Apalachicola  82  71  83  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM....Merrifield
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Scholl